Monday, March 18, 2013

It's Just Not That Hard






The current debate over our national financial picture can be a very confusing thing with opinions flying all about like gnats at a picnic. One doesn’t know where to swat first. The talking heads on TV have not been helpful. As a matter of fact they have hurt the debate by emotionalizing and politicizing the debate thereby preventing rational discussions over our options, and our options are many. All the NEWS presents our immediate future as very dire indeed but some options are available and it is obviously going to require some compromise of our ideology.

We have options for revenue that are left lying on the table because of an unwillingness to allow government to be able to fund the services we demand. We have budget cuts that are lying about waiting for people with enough courage to take on special interests that benefit from them.
On the revenue side there are billions left in what we call tax expenditures which are special benefits placed in our tax code to encourage certain kinds of spending behaviors or to encourage businesses to enter a certain market. Examples of such are some benefits given to oil companies to encourage drilling (as if they required encouragement). There is the mortgage interest deduction that allows taxpayers to deduct the amount spent on interest to buy or build a house. It is a good provision that is intended to encourage middle class home ownership but largely benefits those who buy second or third houses or who buy extremely expensive houses. That could be limited to first homes and then either eliminated for second homes or have the deduction decreased. There is the deduction taken by business for providing expensive health care coverage which has the effect of requiring the American taxpayer to subsidize health insurance at an expensive rate. Restrictions can be placed there. These are just a few that would be relatively painless to the middle class but would provide some additional revenue to deal with decaying infrastructure and investing in technologies for the future.

On the budget cut side there are still many economies to be garnered in the way we buy health care. As a nation we spend three times as much per capita for 24th place health care results. Medicare is prevented from negotiating lower pricing for drugs while other countries pay much less for the same medications. Hospitals are gross profit centers that prey on consumers for bills that are larger than some people’s lifetime incomes. Medicare provides health care for about 1/3 the cost of private insurance and that presents a strong case for a national health care service.
Also, on the budget side we have a military that has grown exponentially over the last decade in which we can find hundreds of billions in budget cuts without harming national security. If we must spend that money then let’s spend it turning swords into plowshares by encouraging defense contractors to use military technology for civilian uses which would encourage new industry. After each war up until the decade of the new century we had cut military budgets by 20% to 30% after each conflict but now we have increased military budgets in almost every year for the past 10 to 12 years. We have amazing new weapon systems but, to paraphrase President Eisenhower, each dollar spent on them is a dollar taken away from housing, schools, etc.
There is little disagreement that the current debt is a result of wars and tax cuts that were not paid for. The current deficit in our budget is due to the drastic decline of revenues after the Wall Street fiasco led to depression and had the effect of the tax cuts. There is also a tendency on the part of the American public to want services but be less inclined to pay for them. This leads to the most pressing problem that faces our economic future and that is the exploding costs of Medicare.

Medicare has been a wonderful program that has delivered medical care at a fraction of the cost of private health care. Currently Medicare delivers medical services at a third of the cost of private providers. This has the predictable effect of not being popular among those who make money out of the provision of health care services. As with any private enterprise health care is a growth industry. One of the main tenets of capitalism is that your market share must either increase or become more profitable in the services rendered. They have been very good at that and that is evidenced by the costs of tests, treatments and other services. This does not mean that Medicare is unsustainable; it only means that we must find the ways to increase its efficiency.
Proposed solutions are all over the board mainly focused on cutting Medicare expenditures.

Medicare is the driving force in budget deficits but that does not mean we should abandon it. Health care costs are going to be paid for by someone. It is just a matter of how much money is going to be paid. The solution is not to curtail Medicare but rather to curtail medical costs. We can do that by delivering care smarter and by allowing Medicare to negotiate lower costs for services and drugs. Already Medicare is able to negotiate lower costs to participating providers. If you have looked at your Medicare statements you know that. Now Medicare must be able to negotiate the prices for drugs.

Next, it may seem counter-intuitive but the answer is to increase access to Medicare. Once you understand that everyone is going to be in the market for health care and that someone is going to pay the bill it begins to make sense to try to deliver it as economically as possible. There is just no other viable answer that does not allow people to sicken and die for lack of being able to afford health care. I know that this may cause some people’s heads to spin around but try to not just think of what it will cost but what it will cost if we don’t.

It really isn't that hard. All that is required is rational thought rather than pejorative mumbo-jumbo.

My take on the current so called budget crisis. It is really a crisis of inability to overcome the fear of not being re-elected.




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